[quote]thunderbolt23 wrote:
Palin wouldn’t make it out of the primary for a number of reasons, not the least of which is her lack of experience. Here is a woman light on professional accomplishments, and when she did have a plum position (governor of a large state), she resigned.
Primaries are brutal - your teammates are now your opponents - and other GOP candidates are going to be happy to destroy her own her lack of experience and even compare her to Obama. And the GOP simply will not allow the 2012 candidate to have the flaw of lack of resume and experience. Given that advantage, it’d be electoral suicide.
Prior to being elected President, Obama had an undistinguished career. As a lawyer, nothing to write home about. As a community organizer, nothing compelling. As a professor, he wrote nothing of substance, nor did he use his pedestal at the University of Chicago as a way of litigating big-national cases that interested him. As a state legislator, a dull record famous only for its perpetual dodge of controversial votes. As a Senator, he was never a leader nor did he sponsor or shepherd through any meaningful legislation.
Then Obama is elected - and, in terms of governance, he has done very poorly. Don’t take my word for it - I’ve spoken to a number of Democratic friends (who serve in public office and in the party) who say the theme is fairly persistent, even in urban enclaves: Obama ain’t big enough for the job, and never was. He was always interesting to the flake wing of the party, but really wasn’t anything more than a guy who made good grades at prestigious schools.
The GOP can’t waste this opportunity to contrast Obama’s thin resume and underwhelming performance as chief magistrate on Palin, who is guilty of the exact same sins. No way the delegates would ever let her escape the primaries as the candidate. Once Palin took the stage, the over/under for a fellow GOP candidate to say “we can’t afford to put someone else in the Oval Office with such a weak resume - look at what that got us in 2008” is about 15 seconds.[/quote]
I think this assessment about sums it up. How is a person who resigned from a position that required her to govern over less than 700,000 people in the face of ethics charges, who then blamed it on the media’s “vendetta” against her, going to convince enough people that she is fit to run a country of almost 400 million at perhaps its most pivotal moment since the 1850’s-60’s to win a primary? Especially when it will be her fellow Republicans attacking her. She essentially withered in the face of intense media scrutiny, and now she thinks that she’ll hold up well against her “friends’” attacks against her.
Furthermore, I have felt for a long time now that the only reason she has any viability at all anymore within the GOP stems from the GOP’s refusal to admit that she was an absolutely horrible, unqualified running mate for McCain (compared to the other choices at the time) and that she was in large part responsible for McCain’s loss. I think that the GOP wizards who felt they were passed over in favor of her will take out whatever frustration they had with her selection as VP candidate directly on her, without restraint, during the primaries.
The sight of her getting fucking filleted by her fellow Republicans, and then getting the shit kicked out of her in the first primary or three is going to end up destroying her credibility even further, but this time it will be destroyed in the minds of other conservatives, not liberals.
