[quote]laxccm wrote:
[quote]orion wrote:
[quote]laxccm wrote:
[quote]Aragorn wrote:
[quote]laxccm wrote:
I don’t think you understand the nature of American debt.
The issue is not balancing the budget, but printing enough money to stimulate the economy without triggering inflation.
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I don’t think you understand the nature of American debt either. The policy you state above has been used for many years now with zero, count it zero, affect on stopping us from going near the cliff edge by both parties. Name one time in history the numbers have been this bad (and I don’t mean raw numbers, I mean adjusted). I don’t believe it can be done.
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The policy I am advising is not monetizing the deficit. We all know how that has worked out in history. When the Fed decides to put more money into the economy, they are not directly using that money to pay off the deficit. As I said before, they use the money to buy financial assets and stimulate the economy.
Also, I am not saying debt doesn’t matter, it is extremely important. However, balancing the budget should never be viewed as an end in and of itself, as it can impose austerity lead to depression.
Perhaps Warren Buffett says it more succinctly than I do…: “The United States is not going to have a debt crisis as long as we keep issuing our debts in our own currency. The only thing we have to worry about is the printing press and inflation.” Warren Buffett: Failure to Raise Debt Limit Would Be 'Most Asinine Act' Ever By Congress [/quote]
And that stimulates the economy how?
Whatever resources the Fed acquires is no longer being used by the market.
So, in order to “stimulate” the Fed would have to be able to know better than the market, i.e. it would have to have not only have more consequential knowledge than the market but it also should be able to act on it faster than the market.
So, why do you think that the US Fed will be the first entity to make central planning work?
And no, because you are fucked otherwise is not much of an argument.
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First, as I’ve already said, the Fed never needs to acquire resources. The Fed is the only entity which can print US dollars. It does not need to borrow to spend. If the Government had never spent any money, there would be 0 dollars in circulation. This is how 100% of US dollars came into existence. It is not cheap money.
Second, when did I ever mention central planning? When the government “spends” it puts money into the private sector (which IS the market). Why would the government need to compete with the market when it can feed it instead?
Finally, “because you are fucked otherwise” is not my argument. My argument is that there are more important economic indicators than debt to predict economic welfare. Worrying only about debt is asinine and counterproductive. We have increased the debt ceiling, tripled the monetary base, and are in the midst of a recovery with no inflation (yet).
Back to the original point of this thread, bashing Obama for debt when our monetary policy has been relatively successful in light of the crisis is unfair.
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First, you do not have “no inflation”.
You have “no inflation” if you use hedonic measurements and if you exclude housing, groceries and energy from the CPI.
I.e. gas, food and lodging.
I am sorry, but, no.
Then, and this point is important, the Fed does not need to require resources? Hel yeah, it does. What you do is assigning mystical properties to money when it has none. Money is a placeholder that allows us to make somewhat rational economic decisions by revealing the relative scarcity of goods. No more, no less.
To pretend that one barrel of oil, one log of timber or one ingot of iron is created because the Fed has printed money amounts to a magical world view.
If it creates money and buys stuff it draws real stuff from the market and does stuff with it that the market would not do, meaning, it destroys wealth, unless of course you believe that they know better than an emergent system that just so happens to express the ordinal value scales of 6-7 billion people in realtime.
Just a tad above their pay grade, or so I believe.
Also, what recovery?