[quote]Varqanir wrote:
[quote]pat wrote:
[quote]Gkhan wrote:
[quote]Varqanir wrote:
[quote]pat wrote:
[quote]Gkhan wrote:
If Assad was going to rape your sister you said don’t touch her or I’ll kill you. He rapes her anyway and you cut his balls off. He still raped her. You can’t deny that. In spite of your warning, he still raped her. He may not be able to do it again, but he still did it. So how’s that a victory?
interesting how you ignored this. [/quote]
I get your point, but how about this analogy.
Gun man seizes a school. Police surround school and warn gunman not to shoot or they will be forced to take action.
Gunman shoots up the school, gunman is forced to give up his guns and ammo.
Did the warning from the po-po work?
Do you like that analogy?[/quote]
Here’s a better analogy.
The corrupt mayor of a town has a fleet of heavy armoured vehicles, which he threatens to have his SWAT teams roll through the street, squashing a group of protestors. The state governor grows concerned that this tactic is heavy-handed, so he warns the mayor not to run over any protestors using armoured SWAT vehicles, or he will be forced to take action.
The state government drafts a new law, banning heavy armoured SWAT vehicles.
A state legislator, who is a friend of the mayor, convinces him to give up all of his SWAT vehicles, And the mayor grudgingly complies. All of the SWAT vehicles are carted off to the scrap heap.
But then word comes that a bike cop has just bludgeoned a protestor to death with his bicycle.
It wasn’t a heavy armoured SWAT vehicle, but a vehicle nonetheless, and it was used to kill someone.
Would you say that the Armoured SWAT Vehicle ban, and therefore the governor who sponsored it, were failures because they did not prevent the protestor getting beaten to death by a bicycle?[/quote]
Varq, I don’t have a problem with the Armoured SWAT Vehicles being taken away. But they should punish who ever used that bicycle. How come the guy who killed someone with a bike gets off scott free?
[/quote]
Well, if we are going to move forward with this analogy, I don’t think a bicycle is a good analogy for chlorine gas.
It was, after all one of the first official chemical weapons ever used. As a chemical weapon, it’s legit. No, it’s not as powerful as Sarin or Mustard but it wasn’t an accident that someone happened to die.
These canisters were used deliberately to kill people. The reported total is 14 times so far. And it’s a horribly painful way to die, if not wide spread in effect.
My contention is Assad used chlorine gas, a chemical, deliberately to kill people in 14 separate attacks. Sorry, I don’t consider this a minor thing.[/quote]
Fine. The cop was on horseback, and he trampled the protestor with his horse.
You can’t tell me that a horse isn’t “legit”.[/quote]
Well, I shouldn’t have pushed on the legitimacy of the ‘bicycle’. I am just saying that chlorine gas poisoning is no minor thing.
Now as to the question. It depends on the intent. Was the intent, simply to remove heavy SWAT armored vehicles, or to prevent the police from killing protesters with their modes of transport.
If the goal was simple to remove armored vehicles and they removed armored vehicles, then it was successful.
If the goal was to prevent police from killing people with their modes of transport then it failed.
Now I get your point, in that we seem to express no problem with Assad murdering the shit out of his populous with conventional weapons, we were only expressing concern over chemical weapons which we got most of.
But I think this is also where we disagree, because it’s not ok for Assad to murder his people with conventional or chemical weapons.
The ‘red line’ was to signify, at the time it was said in the context it was said, “Ok, if you cross this line you have officially gone too far and we are going to put a stop to it and you.”
We had various options on the table that enabled us to take out the chemical weapons and seriously impair Assad’s ability to continue his attacks and give the rebel contingent a significant advantage in making head way and hopefully leading to Assad’s ouster in favor of a more moderate leadership. We had been talking with, and helping to some degree this rebel contingent in order to do just that.
We already had those options on the table, plans in place to eliminate the chemical threat via limited strikes, remove the air-strike capability, and provide arms and tactical support to the rebels. We wanted Assad gone and we said as much.
But we allowed Russia to intervene. Russia, who supports Assad and wanted him to stay in power and crush the rebellion, the opposite of what we wanted.
And subsequently we did, in fact change our ‘calculus’ on Syria to a much weaker position. We allowed ourselves to be hornswoggled into focusing only on chemical weapons rather than the initial goal of an Assad-free relatively peaceful, relatively stable Syria who was not a threat to regional peace.
So we allowed Russia to broker the deal and we accepted it. Assad gets rid of chemical weapons so at least he cannot poison people anymore. But this move backfired on us, big time.
In exchange for his chemical weapons, Assad not only got to retain his power but also received the means and the backing he needed not only to hold on, but to continue to reign hell on the opposition expanding his sphere of influence and tightening his grip which is exactly the opposite of what we wanted to happen.
And something else magical happened that helped his cause greatly. Terrorists. It’s debatable what role Assad had in throwing open the doors to al qaeda and their cronies to invade the rebel control territories. He certainly didn’t seem to mind. The rebels having little support, no protection from air strikes and being poorly armed had little chance of stopping the influx. The Syrian rebellion has been greatly muddied because of the influx of these terrorists. And now, after all this, after the tides of the war has greatly turned in Assad’s favor, now we choose to deliver arms to the Syrian rebels. But who are we arming and how the hell are we going to keep those weapons out of the hands of ISIS and the like?
The ‘red line’ was the one chance we had to seriously turn the tide. We had ample opportunity, justification, and means to turn this thing around and get Assad and his chemical weapons out. We relented and after the situation has completely gone to hell, now we act with what we should have done then.
If we are doing it now, why didn’t we do it when we had the chance to really make a difference?
This opportunity missed and allowing Assad’s ally to broker a deal that pacified us, but empowered Assad is why I considered it a failure. As it allowed the situation to massive deteriorate in Assads favor.
And on top of that, as if to snub his nose at the U.S., he still found a way to use chemicals as a weapon to kill people. That’s the rub.
I appreciate you allowing to explain myself calmly. I hope we can discuss it, calmly.