[quote]Gkhan wrote:
[quote]smh_23 wrote:
“Obama mishandled the situation under present consideration.”
Or don’t. I am happy to stick around only to enjoy the denouement at this point.[/quote]
No one has said Obama mishandled the situation UNDER PRESENT CONSIDERATION. You see, you have to add that in order to make your argument stick.[/quote]
I have to add it because I am debating people who are so incompetent or dishonest that they must be continuously reminded that what we are talking about is what we are talking about and anything we say while we’re talking should relate to what we’re talking about.
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First off, I asked you if Assad had not accepted THE RUSSIAN PROPOSAL, would we be bombing Syria? You said yes. You said the threat of force made the Russians intercede and got Assad to give up his chemical arms. THE THREAT OF FORCE is what caused them to come to the table… Your words.[/quote]
My words, and also “what happened.” The latter being somewhat more important.
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So when I said America can bomb anyone they want at any time, wouldn’t that be a THREAT OF FORCE? Isn’t that what you said brought Russia to the table, because if not, I am thoroughly confused.[/quote]
I can tell.
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But now you are saying Obama never issued a direct threat to bomb Syria. His threat was vague. If he was speaking from a position of power, why the vagueness in his threat? Why not say what you mean and mean what you say?[/quote]
Why didn’t he say something different? I don’t know, I don’t live in his head and I haven’t had the occasion to ask him. Perhaps leaders like to keep their options relatively open by speaking in ways that do not too greatly constrict their future decision-making abilities while at the same time being direct enough to make their wishes known and to imply what needs to be implied. Because perhaps somewhere down the line the unconstrained decision-making process might lead to things like concrete foreign policy victories which further American interests.
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He said if Syria used chemical weapons against his people then it was crossing a red line and there would be vague consequences. Next he said the international community drew the red line. So which is it?[/quote]
Addressed. You worry about what was said. I’ll worry about action and outcome. And we’ll see who ends up with his head farther up his ass.
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What exactly was the red line and what was the threat? If Obama said "if you cross the red line (using chemical weapons against his own people) there would be consequences and Assad used chemical weapons against his own people so Obama’s threat was a failure.[/quote]
Addressed literally a dozen times. Keywords: Presidents succeed and fail insofar as their decisions and their reactions to the decisions of outside actors are rational or irrational, Melians, George Bush, Saddam Hussein. That’s the last time I respond to this point without your having responded to its rebuttals. This paragraph will be pasted into my posts until then.
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Luckily Obama’s calculus had changed, now it does not matter if Assad used chemical weapons against his own people. Now, since the Russians brokered a deal to let Obama save face and Assad remain in control, he took it. It was a win for the West and a win for Russia and Assad.[/quote]
Addressed. Deals tend to entail benefit to both sides. The benefit to us was such that the deal was the rational choice.
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But if Obama threatened to PREVENT Assad from using chemical weapons against his own people in a position of force, then Obama’s threat was a failure under present consideration. [/quote]
Addressed literally a dozen times. Keywords: Presidents succeed and fail insofar as their decisions and their reactions to the decisions of outside actors are rational or irrational, Melians, George Bush, Saddam Hussein. That’s the last time I respond to this point without your having responded to its rebuttals. This paragraph will be pasted into my posts until then.
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And although it was a good win-win outcome, without the intercession of the Russians, it would not have happened. So if anyone is looking good under present conditions, it is the Russians because they win as negotiators.[/quote]
Yep, they come rushing in with a concrete deal to try to stop the most powerful military on the planet from bombing their client and trading partner, and they look good. Because they are “negotiators.” And we look weak. I’m sure, if the roles were reversed, and we surrendered a bunch of Israeli armaments in order to stop the Russians from punishing them for something they’d done to their own people, you would consider us to have come out looking strong, and the Russians to look weak. Re-read that last sentence. Now re-read it again.
Edited