[quote]BostonBarrister wrote:
Prof [Note: Harris, this is for you too],
Firstly, remember, that it’s important to look at the reasons in an aggregate fashion. That will play directly to one of your questions below.
Professor X wrote:
Well, In my opinion, your first point doesn’t hold much water for me. Strategic importance in war on terror, seems to go up in flames when we create even more terrorists. Terrorism isn’t a country. It is more an ideal, and as such, it isn’t like Iraq was such a major player in its existence that taking out Iraq is going to destroy it. I understand the point you are making, but terrorism isn’t grounded to one specific area of the world. If anything, I feel that we gave many of our own enemies a new resolve as far as their utter hatred of our way of life. Do you disagree with this?
I agree that it’s a bad idea to make more terrorists. I disagree that it’s anything more than a loosely based claim that we in fact are creating more terrorists. But that actually doesn’t impact the main point.
The main point was that the administration and the CIA view is and has been that terrorists aren’t nearly as big of a threat to US interests in the absence of sponsorship by nation states. So if taking away a nation-state sponsor meant that terrorists were less likely to get their hands on advanced weapons or to have a shelter and training ground, then, in fact, even if there were more terrorists created, they would still be less dangerous to US interests than fewer terrorists who had those things.
Professor X wrote:
Your second point, “strategic importance in the Persian Gulf, which is a key area for the world economy because of its energy production” does lead me to ask, didn’t the administration claim that this was not a goal? I agree, it would make sense for this to be the strategy, but who has claimed this was the intention? I am truly asking for my own information because I was under the impression that this tactic was definitely not a reason for why we went into Iraq.
No, they didn’t say that we didn’t take energy supply into account. They said we weren’t going to war “for oil,” meaning solely for oil, which was the claim they were arguing against. As I said, Iraq has to be viewed in total – I think making certain that the middle east didn’t descend into a chaotic mess that would trigger a global economic depression was probably a consideration, though not the only, or even necessarily the most important, consideration.
Professor X wrote:
Your third point, “and, unlike the cases in both Iran (with Russia) and North Korea (with China), you didn’t have a big geopolitical player that considered that country “their turf,” which would add a whole nother set of costs and complications to the mix.” just leads me to ask if this means our actions are based on who we thought would give up easier? So democracy of Iraq was not the major reason we went to war, ease of war was?
Once again, let me say that it has to be considered in the aggregate. If one does a cost/benefit analysis of a situation, which is key to any “realism” view of foreign policy, then, to use your terminology, “ease of war” would be a factor on the cost side of the equations, and “democracy for Iraq” would be a factor on the benefit side of the equation.[/quote]
Two points:
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While I agree that Iraq was the “easier” war (eactually, even using the term “war” is kinda goofy. it reminds me of Bill Hicks joke, “A war is when TWO armies are fighting,”) to say that we did this to spread democracy doesn’t hold up historically. We’ve never gone to war to spread democracy. it might have been a by-product, but history shows that America prefers friendly dictatorships. (Central/South America, for example).
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Iraq didnt’t sponsor terorism. At least, not when compared to Suadi Arabia, Libya, Iran, et al.