[quote]pat wrote:
[quote]smh_23 wrote:
pat wrote:
The questions are these:
- What are the odds that things–the particulars of physical constants and parameters, the happenstances of evolutionary history–turned out so well for us, without “god?”
Most calculations I have seen put the odds at 1 in 4 x 10^17 chance of happening accident.
And they are darts launched by blind men at invisible targets in the pitch dark. The odds that the universe would be as it is are incalculable without our old friends, grossly monumental assumption and groundless guessing.
[/quote]
Sure there are assumptions in place, for instance that there was a pool of ‘material’ to work with in the first place, but I wouldn’t consider it blind guessing. It’s actually a pretty well thought out theory. It considers the amount of variables given the initial conditions of the early universe and calculates the various possible outcomes given the amount of possible variations of those conditions.It’s basal premises are that which science agrees on with regards to the initial conditions of the universe. Sure assumptions are in play, but they are not monumental or made up assumptions. The assumptions on which it’s based are scientific assumptions, but assumptions nonetheless.
Well your question was asked in such a way that the existence of God was affirmed as true in the question. It wasn’t a question whether God exists, but whether or not He ‘…caused things to turn out so well for us’.
As an aside, God’s existence is not an ‘enormous assumption’. There are still valid arguments for the existence of God which have not been disproven.
That does not mean that objections have not been made, or that everyone holds the arguments in high regard, only that they have not been disproven.
The calculation does not assume God’s existence, agency, or causal input. It only calculates the amount of possible outcomes based on the initial conditions of the universe. At least considering the initial conditions which have thus far been determined as scientifically likely.
It doesn’t consider the cause of it at all.
[quote]
- Which set of odds is likelier?
Well clearly the latter.
Neither, because neither set of odds is calculable, or even exists at all.[/quote]
Well they calculated it, so I don’t think it’s incalculable. Doesn’t mean they are spot on accurate, necessarily; doesn’t mean more variables cannot be considered in the future as more discoveries are made. But given enough variables and their possible outcomes, calculations can be made and have been. It’s just data, and data can be calculated.
[EDIT: Cleaned up ‘quotes’][/quote]
Two points, and a request.
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When I spoke of the odds that God created the physical parameters of the universe, I meant implicitly that part of that (incalculable) calculation would include the odds that God exists. But you’re right, my wording was imprecise, so add that in there.
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It is indeed an enormous assumption, to do any “calculation” after assuming that God either exists or does not exist. It is the largest question that man has ever asked, and to assume one way or another in order to do some kind of equation is to make blind guesses. As for valid arguments for God’s existence, there is a very important difference between valid arguments and sound proofs. (The following is a valid argument: 1. All men are shoes. 2. Pat is a man. 3. Therefore, Pat is a shoe.) Furthermore, it is not that the arguments have been or will be disproved, it is that they rely on assumptions that cannot be proved or disproved either way, at least as of now.
Most importantly: As for whether the odds that you’re speaking of are calculable or not, can you cite the particular calculation or study or whatever you’re referencing? I would rather we know we’re talking about the same thing.