[quote]Xeneize wrote:
Celtics-Pistons: Whoever wins Game 5 will win this series. I think the game will be close and that the Pistons have a real chance of taking it. If so, the series ends in 6. If Boston takes Game 5, they will win…maybe in 6, definitely in 7. I could be wrong but I don’t think the Celtics have ever lost a Game 7 at home. Pretty unbelievable. I don’t think the Pistons are the team to break that streak.
Lakers-Spurs: LA will play much better in Game 4. Gasol will have a much better game and the key lies in how Odom plays. If he reduces his turnovers from Game 3 and hits some of those inside shots he was bricking, the Lakers can pull it off. Should be a close game. The Spurs need Manu to repeat his sparking Game 3 performance. This series could easily go 7. I think the Lakers ultimately advance, but to me, this is the real NBA finals.[/quote]
Boston has lost home Game 7’s before, most recently to Indiana in the first round in 2005. Their overall home Game 7 record is incredible, something like 15-3, but it’s not 1.000.
After four games, I’m honestly convinced that Boston is the better basketball team. They’re not a lot better, and it wouldn’t take much of a slip-up to allow the Pistons to take the series. But they’re better, and they’ll win so long as they just take care of business. I think that it’s Detroit that’s got to dig deeper to find a little extra if they want to win this series.
Also, I forgot to mention Jason Maxiell as a guy who put in a very strong performance in Game 4 last night. He had some very tough points and rebounds in addition to the block of Garnett that you and I and everybody who watched that game knows was a foul. But hey, who’s counting?
Sarcasm aside, Maxiell had a great Game 4.
EDIT: Just now saw that last sentence, but I’ve got to disagree. That’s true some years (like in 2002 and 2003, where everybody on the planet knew that the Western Finals winner would easily win the Finals, or the MJ years where the entire Western Conference was just Jordan-fodder), but not this year.
Neither the Spurs nor the Lakers are particularly great teams, and both of the East Finalists are very strong. I think SA would have to pull a rabbit out of their hat to bring home the title this season, but the other three teams are roughly the same caliber.
I think the Lakers would be slight underdogs vs. Boston and slight favorites vs. Detroit. They wouldn’t have home court vs. either team.